In a recent AP story, it appears California is taking the brunt of the housing downturn. This is not unusual. Remember that the California housing market has been volatile for 30 years.
It appears the housing market has not bottomed out yet. For the third quarter, 2008, the S&P Case-Shiller national home-price index fell 16.6%. While it would appear the market has further to fall, hopefully the rate of decline for the housing market slows down.
Of the top 100 markets, here are 10 with the worst forecasts.
1. Los Angeles
2008 median house price: $375,340
2009 projected change: -24.9%
2010 projected change: -5.1%
The median home price in the L.A.- Long Beach-Glendale metro area is projected to fall nearly 25% in 2009 – the biggest drop in the country.
2. Stockton, CA
2008 median house price: $248,050
2009 projected change: -24.7%
2010 projected change: -4.0%
3. Riverside, CA
2008 median house price: $256,540
2009 projected change: -23.3%
2010 projected change: -4.8%
4. Miami-Miami Beach
2008 median house price: $293,590
2009 projected change: -22.8%
2010 projected change: -6.4%
After falling 22% in 2008, home prices in Miami are predicted to plunge another 23% next year.
5. Sacramento
2008 median house price: $225,140
2009 projected change: -22.2%
2010 projected change: -2.3%
6. Santa Ana-Anaheim
2008 median house price: $532,810
2009 projected change: -22.0%
2010 projected change: -3.5%
7. Fresno
2008 median house price: $257,170
2009 projected change: -21.6%
2010 projected change: -3.3%
8. San Diego
2008 median house price: $412,490
2009 projected change: -21.1%
2010 projected change: -2.9%
9. Bakersfield, CA.
2008 median house price: $227,270
2009 projected change: -20.9%
2010 projected change: -2.5%
10. Washington, D.C.
2008 median house price: $343,160
2009 projected change: -19.9%
2010 projected change: -5.7%
Source: Associated Press
Thus, it would appear median home prices in California will remain soft at least another year.